Day 351 of 365
December 17
f(x)
Mathematics Probability Paradoxes
Probability defies intuition. The prosecutor's fallacy confuses P(innocent|evidence) with P(evidence|innocent). Simpson's paradox shows trends can reverse when data is grouped. The base rate fallacy ignores prior probabilities. Understanding these prevents costly reasoning errors.
💡 Did you know?
In a room of 70 people, there's a 99.9% chance two share a birthday!
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